Gold And Silver – Buy! $1600 And $28 Targets?

Saturday  9 February 2013

If Venezuela were any guide, we would have to say buy gold and silver, right here,
right now!  [VENEZUELA DEVALUES FROM 4.30 TO 6.30 BOLIVARS]
For those of you who hold Bernanke Bux, aka fiat paper, pay close attention.  Those
Venezuelan citizens who held paper Bolivars took a 46% hit on their purchasing power.
Those citizens there who held gold and silver saw an equivalent 46% jump in their
holdings.  If you think it cannot happen here, you are wrong.  It already has.

Since the privately owned Federal Reserve took control over this nation’s money supply
in 1913, today’s purchasing power of the fiat-issued Federal Reserve Note, [FRN], is 3
cents, and that would be 3 cents of post-1982 pennies because pennies prior to 1983
are copper content and now worth more than 3 cents, not to put too fine a point on it.
Always remember,  a FRN is NOT a “dollar,’ despite the false labeling.  Each one is a
commercial debt instrument issued by the Federal Reserve, a central bank, one of many
throughout the world, all controlled by New World Order confiscators, which includes
confiscation of all freedom, [read the Patriot Act and National Defense Authorization Act,
and we will not even go into the organic Constitutional Republic being defunct because of
them].

Still, the likelihood of another devaluation of the FRN, but an “official” one, like what
happened in Venezuela, as high as 50% would not be out of the realm of possibility.
Anyone who still “values” the holding of valueless paper and has not purchased gold
and silver in physical form, lives in denial and will “pay” dearly for that choice.

Let us be clear, once more, [with apologies to the choir members], BUY physical gold
and silver, now, at any price and at any time, and put it away…NOT in a bank or some
financial institution; NOT in any paper form, ETF or any “certificate of ownership”
form, which is just a piece of paper.  If you do not hold it, you may never get to own it!
Is that worth the risk?  [Just ask Germany, unable to get its gold back from central
banks in NY and London.]  No honor among thieves, there.

Here is one more fact for you to consider:  $16, 483, 729, 858, 642.   That is how many
fiats are outstanding, a part of which the corporate federal government says is YOUR
burden.  [We warned you, FRNs are IOUs]. It is approximately the current cost of kicking
the political can down the road in order to pay for all the banking failures, and government
spending, the cost of funding the TSA to pat you down literally while politicians do it to
you figuratively, and you can see how high those figures are.  The examples are endless,
and mindless.

As for the futures…we start each week with new charts, expecting developing market
activity will lead us in the right direction.  Previously, we have maintained a bullish bias
when reading the charts.  Not so, for this week.

[The long positions, acknowledged last week, were sold on the Wednesday rally, missing
the break on Thursday and Friday.]

One cannot remain bullish for the near term, for futures only, when the developing market
activity tells a story of price weakness.  The least amount of market knowledge arises when
price is in the middle of a TR.  Why?  The middle of anything is at a 50% point, so the odds
of the market going up are equal to the odds of the market going down, while still within a
trading range.

As you can see from the established channel, price could decline and not find support until
the $1600 area, which is where the rally began, last August.  We often say how markets are
always testing support/resistance areas, and that includes previous breakout areas, too.
As things stand, a further decline in the futures is not far-fetched, although why gold and
silver would decline by any amount, given surrounding circumstances, is a mystery.  Still,
it speaks to the staying power of those in power who desire to keep PMs suppressed.  It is
still working.

GCJ W 9 Feb 13

While silver had been a bit stronger than gold, recently, gold held better on the late week
decline than did silver.  Seeing how gold has been virtually sideways since mid-December,
and trading within the first three trading days of January, it can continue to meander for
several more weeks to come.

One red flag was the sharp volume increase on Thursday with a close off the lows.  It is the
market telling us that buyers were as active as sellers, and meeting the effort of sellers at
the lower end.  Friday’s small range does nothing to clarify the picture.

Buy the physical, keep the powder dry in futures.

GCJ 9 Feb 13

The weekly chart is similar in silver, but we added an “axis line,” one where it acts as
support and alternating resistance, and that area is around $32.  The labored rally from
last week fizzled, and were price to decline, an obvious target is $28, also where the rally
started in last August.  This is should the December lows not hold as support.

SIH W 9 Feb 13

Keeping it simple, we see lower highs and lower lows, the simplest definition of a down
trending market.  We had been watching the formation of a coiling wedge for the past
several trading days, even “hoping” for an upside breakout, but so far, the opposite has
developed.

The increased volume on Thursday’s decline looks more like a day that sellers were in
control, in contrast to the same day for gold.  Friday’s attempt to rally failed, volume
declined, and that says demand was weak.  As an otherwise inside day, it is hard to draw
any meaningful conclusion.

Buy the physical, and the American Eagles are such beautiful coins, but avoid futures
for the near term.

SIH D 9 Feb 13

 

This entry was posted in Market Commentaries. Bookmark the permalink.